Jan 7 Daily Update: U.S. Trade Deficit Widens Further in November, Exceeding Expectations

Published on 7 January 2025 at 10:14

The U.S. trade deficit for November continued to widen on a month-over-month basis and came in above market expectations. Meanwhile, the CES tech expo officially opened. After leading the market for two consecutive sessions (last Friday and Monday), semiconductor stocks are once again gapping higher in pre-market trading.

 

NVIDIA announced it will select Micron (MU) as a key GPU supplier. As a result, NVDA shares are up 3% in pre-market, hitting new all-time highs. MU, which surged 10% yesterday, is up another 5% pre-market—seemingly confirming that “there are no secrets in this market.”

 

Most other sectors show more gainers than losers, but with relatively modest moves.

 

SPY Outlook:

Yesterday, SPY opened higher and rallied but pulled back near the short-term trendline resistance.

Intraday, the key levels to watch are:

Upside test: Around $600

Downside support: Around $593

 

Although the index rebounded strongly on Friday, showing signs of improved market breadth, Monday’s gains were mostly concentrated in a handful of large-cap names. Key tech giants—NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, and META—led the charge, once again challenging previous record highs. The semiconductor sector continues to outperform broadly.

 

Intraday focus remains on whether these leading names can push to the next price level.

 

AAPL has underperformed recently. Key intraday support lies near $242—a break below this level would likely trigger a test of the medium-term moving average and the breakout platform around $238, as previously noted last week.

 

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